Healy-Rae brothers on course to keep their seats, according to TG4 constituency poll
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Kerry brothers Michael and Danny Healy-Rae are on course to keep their seats, with Michael polling at a massive 27%.
The results of a TG4/Ipsos B&A constituency poll for Kerry revealed from Dún Chaoin that while Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael should take a seat each, Sinn Féin's Pa Daly could be in a fight to hold onto his seat.
Michael Healy-Rae's whopping 27% of the vote puts him far ahead of any other candidate, and suggests he will be amongst the highest vote-getters in the State on Friday.
His brother Danny Healy-Rae comes in fifth on 10%, but Michael’s surplus of almost 40% according will largely transfer to Danny guaranteeing both Healy-Raes a return to the Dáil in the five-seat constituency.
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Outgoing Minister for Education Norma Foley polls second on 14%, and with transfers from the Healy-Raes and the third Fianna Fáil candidate Linda Gordon Kelleher, who is on 3%, will retain her seat.
The combined Fianna Fáil vote is ahead of its 2020 tally, which is a good performance given that John Brassil has retired. It may be enough for Michael Cahill, who on 7% is in sixth, to challenge Mr Daly, who is in fourth on 12%.
Longtime TD Brendan Griffin is not running in this election for Fine Gael and is replaced on the ticket by former Kerry football captain Billy O’Shea who is polling well on 14%, although the Fine Gael vote appears to be down marginally in the county. The poll shows that the two main government parties are transferring well to each other across geographical lines.
Mr Daly is on 12% and running mate Stephanie O’Shea on 3%, giving Sinn Féin a combined 15% in Kerry, shy of a quota.
This TG4/Ipsos B&A poll was conducted on Friday and Saturday of last week (November 22 and 23), one week before election day. A sample of 521 attaches a margin of error of about plus or minus four percentage points.